Can Denmark upset Spain in the UEFA Nations League?

Here is what experts say

As Spain and Denmark prepare for their high-stakes UEFA Nations League clash on October 12, 2024, football fans and bettors are left with one burning question: Can Denmark pull off a surprise victory over the dominant Spanish side?

With both teams showing strong form in recent matches, this match has the potential to shake up the standings in League A Group 4. In this in-depth analysis, we’ll break down the stats, expert predictions, and betting odds to help you make an informed decision.

Spain, traditionally a powerhouse in European football, has had a strong year, but Denmark’s flawless start in the Nations League has raised eyebrows. Let’s explore how these two teams compare, what experts predict, and whether betting on Denmark as the underdog might be worth the risk.

Recent form and team performance breakdown

Spain’s recent results have been a mix of dominance and stability. They recently thrashed Switzerland 4-1 and drew 0-0 with Serbia. Over the past year, Spain has shown consistent form, boasting a 77% win rate from 13 matches, which includes wins against top-tier teams like England, France, and Germany. This kind of performance solidifies Spain as a strong contender not just in this match, but throughout the tournament.

Denmark, however, is coming into this game with an impressive start, having won their first two group games against Switzerland and Serbia without conceding a goal. Their recent form, including two clean sheets in a row, highlights their defensive strength, but the real question is whether they can maintain this momentum against Spain’s much more potent attack. While Denmark’s year-long win rate stands at 50%, their current 100% win record in the Nations League group suggests they are peaking at just the right time.

Standings and key comparisons

In terms of standings, Denmark is currently leading with 6 points after two games, while Spain is close behind with 4 points. Both teams remain unbeaten, but Denmark’s two wins give them a slight edge. Spain’s superior overall record this year shows that they have been more consistent over the long term, but Denmark’s current form in the group makes this match unpredictable.

Expert predictions: Spain vs Denmark

When it comes to football predictions, most experts are tipping Spain to come out on top. According to various sources, Spain is given a 68% chance of winning, with a draw predicted at 12%, and Denmark’s chances set at 20%. While Spain is the favorite, Denmark’s strong form in this specific tournament means there is still room for an upset.

Experts such as Andrea Colucci (63% win rate) and SoccerDino (78% win rate) are confidently backing Spain, pointing to their consistent performances over the year. However, Denmark’s defensive solidity has impressed others, like BetClan who have highlighted Denmark’s potential to cause an upset.

Betting odds and opportunities

The betting markets overwhelmingly favor Spain, with odds reflecting their dominant form. Spain’s odds are hovering around 1.40, while Denmark’s win odds range between 7.50 and 9.00, depending on the bookmaker. These high odds for Denmark suggest that, while Spain is favored, there is value in betting on Denmark for those willing to take the risk.

Conclusion: Spain’s strength or Denmark’s surprise?

While Spain is the clear favorite based on both form and expert football predictions Denmark’s current Nations League performances cannot be ignored. Spain’s attack will likely test Denmark’s defense in ways their previous opponents have not, but Denmark has proven that they can handle pressure.

For those looking to place bets, Spain offers a safer option with a more predictable outcome. However, Denmark’s high odds might tempt those who believe in their ability to stage an upset. Either way, this match promises to be a tightly contested battle between two teams with their eyes set on the top of the group.

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