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Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli prediction: Can Dortmund secure a win? Check the latest odds

This upcoming Bundesliga clash sees Borussia Dortmund hosting St Pauli.

With Dortmund aiming to secure a top-four finish and St. Pauli struggling near the bottom, this match presents an opportunity for Dortmund to regain momentum. Tips.GG gathered info from their experts based on

Recent form and team performance

Borussia Dortmund enters this match in decent form, winning 4 of their last 6 games (67% win rate in the past month). Despite a strong victory against Celtic FC (7-1), recent Bundesliga performances have been mixed, including a 1-2 loss to Union Berlin. Currently positioned 7th in the Bundesliga table with 10 points, Dortmund is chasing a higher spot and cannot afford further slip-ups.

  • Last 5 Matches:
    • Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Union Berlin
    • Borussia Dortmund 7-1 Celtic FC
    • Borussia Dortmund 4-2 VfL Bochum
    • Borussia Dortmund 1-5 VfB Stuttgart
    • Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Club Brugge

St. Pauli, on the other hand, is enduring a difficult season. With only 1 win in their last 4 matches and sitting 15th in the league, their 25% win rate in the past month is worrying. St. Pauli’s last match, a 2-3 defeat against Hannover 96, highlighted their defensive fragility. While they’ve shown moments of resilience, such as a 3-0 win over SC Freiburg, consistency remains elusive.

  • Last 5 Matches:
    • St. Pauli 2-3 Hannover 96
    • St. Pauli 0-3 FSV Mainz 05
    • St. Pauli 3-0 SC Freiburg
    • St. Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
    • St. Pauli 1-3 FC Augsburg

Head-to-head analysis

While Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli haven’t clashed recently, their respective performances in the Bundesliga speak volumes. Dortmund’s superior ranking and squad depth make them the favorites for this match. Football predictions from TipsGG emphasize Dortmund’s home advantage and attacking power as key factors.

League Standings Comparison

  • Borussia Dortmund:
    • Position: 7th
    • Played: 6
    • Wins: 3
    • Losses: 2
    • Goal Difference: +1 (12-11)
    • Points: 10
  • St. Pauli:
    • Position: 15th
    • Played: 6
    • Wins: 1
    • Losses: 4
    • Goal Difference: -5 (4-9)
    • Points: 4

Dortmund’s stronger position in the table, combined with their superior goal-scoring ability, places them in a more favorable spot heading into this match. St. Pauli, meanwhile, struggles both offensively and defensively, with a negative goal difference and just 4 points from 6 matches.

Expert predictions

The majority of expert predictions favor Borussia Dortmund. Here are some key insights from trusted sources:

  • SoccerStats247: Dortmund to win, despite recent inconsistencies in form.
  • GREENS: Highlights Dortmund’s strong win over Celtic and predicts another victory.
  • Bet Pro Tips: Confident in a Dortmund win, especially considering their better squad depth.
  • Opta Analyst: While acknowledging St. Pauli’s occasional resilience, they note Dortmund’s superior squad quality and home advantage.

Across various prediction platforms, Dortmund’s winning chances are estimated at 74%, while the likelihood of a draw is set at 10%, and St. Pauli is given a slim 16% chance of pulling off an upset.

Betting odds

Here’s a quick checklist of the best odds from popular bookmakers:

  •  888starz: Dortmund 1.34, Draw 5.96, St. Pauli 9.80
  •  22bet: Dortmund 1.30, Draw 5.75, St. Pauli 9.40
  •  bet365: Dortmund 1.27, Draw 5.75, St. Pauli 10.00
  •  betsson: Dortmund 1.28, Draw 6.00, St. Pauli 11.00
  •  betway: Dortmund 1.25, Draw 6.50, St. Pauli 9.00

The odds clearly favor Borussia Dortmund, with most bookmakers offering around 1.30 for a Dortmund win. St. Pauli, by contrast, is seen as a long shot, with odds ranging from 9.00 to 11.00, while a draw fetches odds of around 5.75 to 6.50.

Final thoughts

Based on current form, league standings, and expert predictions, Borussia Dortmund is the overwhelming favorite to win this match. St. Pauli has shown flashes of quality but has struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against stronger opposition. Dortmund’s attacking prowess, bolstered by home advantage, gives them the edge.

For betting enthusiasts, Dortmund looks like a safe bet, while those looking for higher returns might consider betting on the exact score or goal difference.

Key insights:

  • Borussia Dortmund’s 74% chance of winning is supported by recent performances and expert analysis.
  • St. Pauli’s defensive frailties and inconsistent form make them unlikely to upset Dortmund.
  • The best betting odds for a Dortmund win hover around 1.30, making it a strong, albeit low-return, choice for bettors.

Expect Dortmund to dominate, with a final score likely to be in their favor by a significant margin.

Disclaimer: Play responsibly. Players must be over 18. For help visit https://www.gamcare.org.uk/

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